DLTR
Dollar Tree, Inc.

Dollar Tree, Inc.DLTR

Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
147.00USD
+9.64%
Nov 05, 2026
DLTR overview ready
Discount retail operator supplying low-cost consumer goods in North America
Dollar Tree is a direct operator of a large small-format value-retail network, monetizing consumer demand for low-priced everyday, seasonal, and discretionary merchandise.
Theme not measured
No economic group is assigned yet.
Advancing price action
Longer-term context reads early trend, with a near-term setup of daily advance.
Fair valuation
The price broadly reflects how much growth and cash flow it delivers per turn of revenue multiple, with upside and risk reasonably balanced.
Solid fundamentals
Free cash flow yield is strong.
Primary risk
Rising supply chain costs.
Market Nov 4Price action Nov 5Research Nov 2

Conviction Level

Theme Momentum has no canonical measurement for this company — a research-profile dimension, not an input to this score.

PriceAction8.6BusinessPerformance5.0BusinessQuality7.2Valuation4.9ThemeMomentum—Mixed — Revenue is still growing (+7.0% YoY), but growth has slowed for 3 consecutive quarters, down from +9.4%. Diluted EPS growth has strengthened to +197% year over year ($2.70), up from +9.3%. — From filed financial statements. Describes the recent trajectory of the business, not the stock. 20 of the 100 Conviction points.

Conviction uses Price Action, Business Performance, Business Quality, Valuation. Theme Momentum is research context, not an input.

Theme momentumPrimary theme · group context, not entry timing
No economic group yet — pending research
Price
Loading price history…

Price Action

Advancing price action
Longer-term context reads early trend, with a near-term setup of daily advance.
EntryBreakout + retest

Price broke through the weekly SMA200, then retested it constructively and recovered — a fresh structural entry rather than a chase.

Key Financials

Market Cap
$25.1B
Provider figure at the stated date
Avg Volume (60D)
2.4M
60 sessions
Revenue Growth YoY
+7.0%
Latest quarter
Gross Margin
+37.2%
Trailing twelve months
Operating Margin
+6.2%
Trailing twelve months
Free Cash Flow Yield
+4.2%
Provider figure at the stated date
P/E
16.3x
Provider figure at the stated date
EV / EBITDA
12.7x
Provider figure at the stated date
EV / Sales
1.6x
Provider figure at the stated date
Market metrics as of Nov 2, 2026

Business Performance

Mixed

Revenue is still growing (+7.0% YoY), but growth has slowed for 3 consecutive quarters, down from +9.4%. Diluted EPS growth has strengthened to +197% year over year ($2.70), up from +9.3%.

Latest reported: Q2 FY2027, ended Aug 1
Revenue growthSlowing
+7.0%
$4.89B in Q2 FY2027 · YoY
YoY growth, last 4 quarters
  1. +9.4%
  2. +9.0%
  3. +7.2%
  4. +7.0%
Earnings growthAccelerating
+197%
Diluted EPS $2.70 vs $0.91 a year earlier · GAAP
Diluted EPS YoY (GAAP), last 4 quarters
  1. +11%
  2. n/a
  3. +9.3%
  4. +197%
Operating marginExpanding
14.1%
+9.1 pp YoY

Business Quality

7.2 / 10

How well the business earns on its assets, converts earnings to cash and funds itself — read from its SEC filings.

Fundamentals & Valuation

All three valuation perspectives agree this company is fair.
This company has a Fair valuation stance because the price broadly reflects how much growth and cash flow it delivers per turn of revenue multiple, with upside and risk reasonably balanced.

Company Research

Thesis
Dollar Tree is a direct operator of a large small-format value-retail network, monetizing consumer demand for low-priced everyday, seasonal, and discretionary merchandise. DLTR has a genuine, direct exposure to a recognizable trade-down/value-retail demand system that is not represented in the promoted narrative set.
Opportunity
Moderate opportunity
Consumer budget pressure and selective discretionary spending shift household purchases toward convenient, low-ticket, value-oriented retail formats offering consumables, seasonal goods, and affordable discretionary items.
Key risk
Rising supply chain costs.

Economic classification

Loading the economic classification…

Business & Markets

Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
What they do

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands, selling a wide range of consumable, variety, and seasonal merchandise at fixed low prices in the United States and Canada.

How it earns

The company generates revenue primarily through transactional sales of discounted retail merchandise in physical stores.

Products & services
Everyday consumables
Variety merchandise
Seasonal goods
Customers & end markets
Value-conscious consumers
Household shoppers in the US and Canada
Market position

Leader in the discount retail store segment with a broad geographic footprint in North America.

Demand drivers
Low cyclicality

Demand for discount retail goods tends to be stable or countercyclical during economic downturns.