ASTL
Algoma Steel Group Inc.

Algoma Steel Group Inc.ASTL

Basic Materials · Steel
4.43USD
+3.75%
Sep 23, 2026
ASTL overview ready
Algoma is a Canadian producer of discrete plate and hot-rolled sheet that has completed its transition from blast-furnace/basic-oxygen-furnace production to electric-arc-furnace steelmaking and is ramping its second EAF unit.
Narrative is still early
Exposed to the Industrial Decarbonization narrative through Low-Emissions Flat and Plate Steel — pure play.
No clear price read
Longer-term context reads early recovery, with a near-term setup of daily reclaim.
Valuation not measured
Solid fundamentals
Ev / sales is strong.
Primary risk
Volatility in steel prices and demand.
Market Sep 22Price action Sep 22Research Sep 17

Conviction Level

NarrativeHeat5.7ThemeHeat5.1PriceAction8.3Valuation3.5CompanyPosition7.3
Price
Loading price history…

Price Action

No clear price read
Longer-term context reads early recovery, with a near-term setup of daily reclaim.
EntryReset + recovery

The stock is still rebuilding below its long-term weekly base, and the recent reset toward the daily SMA200 aligned with support at the weekly EMA21. Daily structure is recovering above the fast averages, improving the current entry location.

Key Financials

Market Cap
$449.1M
Avg Volume (60D)
1.2M
60 sessions
Revenue Growth YoY
-32.3%
Trailing twelve months
Gross Margin
-47.4%
Trailing twelve months
Operating Margin
-54.3%
Trailing twelve months
Distance from 200DMA
+0.2%
Next Earnings
2026-10-27
EV / Sales
1.0x
Market metrics as of Sep 22, 2026

Fundamentals & Valuation

The available comparisons disagreed; the peers comparison is the more reliable method for this business and the others are published as dissent.
Algoma Steel Group Inc. has a Fair valuation stance because the price broadly reflects how its multiples compare with businesses of the same kind, with upside and risk reasonably balanced.

Company Research

Thesis
Algoma is a Canadian producer of discrete plate and hot-rolled sheet that has completed its transition from blast-furnace/basic-oxygen-furnace production to electric-arc-furnace steelmaking and is ramping its second EAF unit.
Opportunity
Limited opportunity
Steelmakers’ investment in electric-arc-furnace production, recycled-metal inputs, and lower-emissions process routes to supply flat and plate steel into industrial, infrastructure, and security-sensitive end markets.
Key risk
Volatility in steel prices and demand.

Narrative & Theme

Industrial Decarbonization
Part of Low-Emissions Flat and Plate Steel, with limited fit.
Algoma has genuine direct exposure to the low-emissions-steel transition because its operating model has moved entirely to EAF steelmaking.
Narrative HeatNeutral5.7 / 10
Theme HeatNeutral5.1 / 10
This is the company’s own research reading. The canonical heat measurement for this story has not run.

Business & Markets

Basic Materials · Steel
What they do

Algoma Steel Group Inc. produces and sells steel products primarily in Canada, the United States, and internationally, focusing on flat/sheet and plate steel products for various industrial applications.

How it earns

The company generates revenue through transactional sales of steel products to industrial customers.

Products & services
Flat/sheet steel products
Plate steel products
Customers & end markets
Automotive industry
Construction industry
Railcar manufacturing
Light manufacturing
Transportation industries
Market position

Operates as a commodity steel producer competing in North American and international markets.

Demand drivers
High cyclicality

Steel demand is closely tied to economic cycles and industrial activity.