ADP
Automatic Data Processing, Inc.

Automatic Data Processing, Inc.ADP

Technology · Software - Application
257.68USD
-2.38%
Oct 05, 2026
ADP overview ready
ADP is a direct, scaled provider of cloud HCM, payroll processing and PEO services to small, mid-sized and enterprise employers globally.
Narrative is still early
Exposed to the Workforce Administration Digitization narrative through Cloud HCM, Payroll and Compliance Outsourcing — pure play.
Price action is under distribution
Longer-term context reads early trend, with a near-term setup of constructive pullback.
Fair valuation
The price broadly reflects how much growth and cash flow it delivers per turn of revenue multiple, with upside and risk reasonably….
Solid fundamentals
Free cash flow yield is strong.
Primary risk
Economic downturn reducing employment and payroll volumes.
Market Oct 2Filing Jun 30Price action Oct 4Research Oct 2

Conviction Level

NarrativeHeat5.7ThemeHeat5.0PriceAction5.4Valuation5.5CompanyPosition9.3
Price
Loading price history…

Price Action

Price action is under distribution
Longer-term context reads early trend, with a near-term setup of constructive pullback.
EntryBreakout + retest

Price broke through the weekly SMA200, then retested it constructively and recovered — a fresh structural entry rather than a chase.

Key Financials

Market Cap
$102.4B
Avg Volume (60D)
2.2M
60 sessions
Revenue Growth YoY
+6.7%
FY2026 vs FY2025
Gross Margin
+48.7%
Operating Margin
+26.4%
Trailing twelve months
Free Cash Flow Yield
+5.1%
Distance from 200DMA
+9.7%
Next Earnings
2026-10-28
P/E
23.2x
EV / Sales
4.7x
Market metrics as of Oct 2, 2026
Financial results for the period ended Jun 30, 2026
Filed balance-sheet data as of Jun 30, 2026

Fundamentals & Valuation

Two of the three valuation perspectives say fair; peers is the dissenting view.
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. has a Fair valuation stance because the price broadly reflects how much growth and cash flow it delivers per turn of revenue multiple, with upside and risk reasonably balanced.

Company Research

Thesis
ADP is a direct, scaled provider of cloud HCM, payroll processing and PEO services to small, mid-sized and enterprise employers globally. ADP has genuine, direct exposure to the multi-company shift toward digitized payroll, HR administration and compliance outsourcing.
Opportunity
Limited opportunity
Employer demand for cloud platforms and outsourced services that automate payroll, HR administration, time management, benefits, tax filing and workforce-compliance workflows.
Key risk
Economic downturn reducing employment and payroll volumes.

Narrative & Theme

Workforce Administration Digitization
Part of Cloud HCM, Payroll and Compliance Outsourcing, with moderate fit.
ADP has genuine, direct exposure to the multi-company shift toward digitized payroll, HR administration and compliance outsourcing.
Narrative HeatNeutral5.7 / 10
Theme HeatNeutral5.0 / 10
This is the company’s own research reading. The canonical heat measurement for this story has not run.

Business & Markets

Technology · Software - Application
What they do

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. provides cloud-based human capital management solutions globally through two segments: Employer Services and Professional Employer Organization (PEO). It offers software platforms and HR outsourcing services to manage payroll, compliance, and workforce management.

How it earns

The company primarily generates revenue through subscription-based and service fees for its cloud software platforms and HR outsourcing solutions.

Products & services
RUN Powered by ADP
ADP Workforce Now
ADP Lyric HCM
Customers & end markets
Small businesses
Mid-sized and large businesses
Market position

ADP is a market leader in cloud-based human capital management and payroll services.

Demand drivers
Medium cyclicality

Demand for payroll and HR services is somewhat stable but can be affected by economic cycles impacting employment levels.

Peers

Companies validated as economically comparable to ADP — similar business, revenue model and scale.
PRICE ACTIONVALUATIONTHEME
Workday, Inc.Early Recovery — Daily ReclaimCheap6.0Medium7.1Heating up7.2Heating upLocked$186.14−0.33%
SAP SEEarly Trend — Daily AdvanceFair6.0Medium8.2Heating up7.2Heating upLocked$208.57−1.05%
Intuit Inc.Damaged Structure — Distribution PressureCheap6.0Medium7.1Heating up7.1Heating upLocked$281.08−0.60%